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    <title>ClearNet Security: Tag risk equation</title>
    <link>http://blog.clearnetsec.com/articles/tag/riskequation</link>
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    <ttl>40</ttl>
    <description></description>
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      <title>Is it possible to prioritize the deployment of common security tools for most companies?</title>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;We found ourselves in a healthy debate recently over a  question posed by a customer that went something like this:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;What should  be my top 5 things to do now to improve our security?&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This was from a young startup that was about to receive  their next stage of funding and desired to do &amp;ldquo;things right&amp;rdquo;.&amp;nbsp; I started down the path of listing popular security  tools:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;Firewalls,  IDS, Anti-Virus, Central Logging, Encryption, Patch Management, etc.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I was presuming we would be able to answer this question and  have some agreement on which &amp;ldquo;security&amp;rdquo; tools would have a higher priority for  deployment.&amp;nbsp; I was wrong.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;There are many different ways to answer this question and  enough premises to fuel debate that you soon feel like you&amp;rsquo;re arguing in  circles.  As a group we haven&amp;rsquo;t  formulated a consensus yet, but I feel there is a logical way to get there, at  least for particular tools.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Let&amp;rsquo;s hypothetically say we  had to choose between &amp;lsquo;patch management&amp;rsquo; (i.e. keeping up on patches) and  anti-virus.&amp;nbsp; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Now the context I was trying  to retain to answer this question was that of a CTO asking you while taking an elevator  ride (i.e. need to be quick).&amp;nbsp; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;After some debate I ended up  referencing my &amp;ldquo;threat modeling&amp;rdquo; docs.&amp;nbsp;  Unfortunately threat modeling must come before choosing anything &amp;ndash; you  need a threat profile before selecting solutions which mitigate threats.&amp;nbsp; But that is not going to help us answer this  question in 30 seconds.&amp;nbsp; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Can we use threat modeling to  make some general propositions about all companies with respect to choosing a  particular security solution over another?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I think that should be  possible.&amp;nbsp; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In threat modeling parlance,  the entry point is where an adversary can interface to the system.&amp;nbsp; To keep this somewhat simple, let&amp;rsquo;s say we  have two small networks with identical systems:&amp;nbsp;  same assets, same trust paradigm, and the same type environment you  would typically see in a startup.&amp;nbsp; So  then, which security tools are better (or provide better value or reduce the  risk the most, etc.)?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Let&amp;rsquo;s also presume for this  exercise that we&amp;rsquo;re dealing with what &lt;em&gt;most&lt;/em&gt; networks see &lt;em&gt;most&lt;/em&gt; frequently &amp;ndash; this in  the context that most systems on the internet are constantly being scanned for  open and vulnerable services by potential attackers.&amp;nbsp; If we roll up, so to speak, the threats  associated with how viruses propagate or how vulnerable services are found and  exploited, then I think we can agree that not only is this an accurate  statement about reality but also that both anti-virus and patch management  solutions focus on mitigating this same threat (or set of threats).&amp;nbsp; That is to say they both are designed to  prevent the masses from these threats and they both fail at exception cases  (e.g. 0day).&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;If the above holds true, then  how can we use the risk equation to evaluate which is a better solution:&amp;nbsp; patch management or anti-virus?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;Risk = Threat  x Vulnerability x Cost&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In our scenario we have  identical networks exposed to the same threats and have the same cost and vulnerability values.&amp;nbsp; The real question is which solution lowers the &lt;s&gt;threat&lt;/s&gt; vulnerability value.&amp;nbsp; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I would argue that patch  management reduces the risk more than anti-virus.&amp;nbsp; This based on generally that patch  management:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul type="disc"&gt;
  &lt;li&gt;Will reduce the number of attack vectors more than anti-virus &lt;/li&gt;
  &lt;li&gt;Is subject to a higher frequency of attacks (i.e. vulnerable service scans and attacks happen more than virus propagation attacks). Also noting the observation that viruses typically proceed post vulnerability disclosure.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;If the above assumptions are  correct then we can say the company which successfully deployed a patch  management solution has greater security strength.&amp;nbsp; More so that most startups of the type that  posed this question to us would be better served security wise to first deploy  patch management.&amp;nbsp; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Now the question is can we  make some generalized statements that apply for most companies and create a  list prioritizing security tools to deploy (within reason and allowing for  variance).&amp;nbsp; &lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Thoughts?&lt;/p&gt;

</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 14 Sep 2006 14:55:00 -0600</pubDate>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">urn:uuid:051ab5a0-b3fa-475b-99fc-7382bb15f9dd</guid>
      <author>tate@ClearNetSec.com (Tate Hansen)</author>
      <link>http://blog.clearnetsec.com/articles/2006/09/14/is-it-possible-to-prioritize-the-deployment-of-common-security-tools-for-most-companies</link>
      <category>security</category>
      <category>ClearNet Security</category>
      <category>Tate Hansen</category>
      <category>risk equation</category>
      <category>security tools</category>
      <category>prioritize</category>
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